2020 NFL Season Predictions: Get the best odds & tips

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2020 NFL Season Predictions Week 2

Tampa Bay @ Carolina (-7.0)

So Jameis Winston stinks, right? Well, Carolina quarterback Cam Newton didn’t look so hot either with his two turnovers and zero touchdowns on Sunday. Newton didn’t appear very mobile either, and that’s a huge part of his game. Carolina does have a couple of things going for them. Newton is 11-5 SU and 10-6 ATS vs. the Bucs. And Carolina head coach Ron Rivera is 3-1 SUATS vs. Tampa Bay head coach Bruce Arians, including 3-0 SUATS at home.

Newton was credited with 3 rushing attempts for -2 yards in Sunday’s game. Take away his ability to run and he’s just an average quarterback, maybe even a little below average. If he didn’t run on Sunday, he’s certainly not going to run here with short rest. 

Speaking of short rest, Tampa Bay’s defense was on the field for 59 plays and allowed 4.3 yards per play. Carolina’s defense was on the field for 72 plays and allowed 4.8 yards per play. Christian McCaffrey had 19 rushes and 10 receptions. Now he has to play on short rest.

I’m taking Tampa Bay and the points.

Arizona @Baltimore (-13.0)

If this game were being played later in the year, it would be easier to fade the red-hot Ravens, but this is their home opener. Yes, the line is inflated, but I’m not backing Kyler and Kingsbury in their first NFL road game. I’m passing here.

San Francisco @ Cincinnati (-2.0)

What I don’t like about the 49ers is the fact that they didn’t really win last week’s game, Tampa Bay lost it. Also, quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo still looks somewhat tentative. He’s not fully recovered from last year’s injury. This is an early start time game for Frisco and the second consecutive road game to start the season.

What I don’t like about the Bengals is how they blew last week’s game. Their offensive line is really awful right now. Andy Dalton was sacked 5 times last week and the team rushed for a whopping 34 yards. Over the preseason, Cincy averaged 56 rushing yards per game. Running back Joe Mixon was injured last Sunday and might not play. If he does play, he may not be at full speed. Wide receiver A.J. Green is still out. Cincinnati let Russell Wilson complete 70% of his passes last week for an average of 8.1 yards per attempt. This one’s a pass.

L.A. Chargers (-2.5) @ Detroit 

Detroit head coach Matt Patricia has faced Philip Rivers twice since 2014. In the first game, New England won 23-14. In the second, New England won 21-13. Rivers failed to lead his offense to more than 14 points in either game. That’s encouraging if you like Detroit. This is also an early start time for the Chargers.

Similar to Cincinnati, I don’t like the way Detroit blew last week’s big lead. It’s a sign of poor coaching and a lack of character in the players. Quarterback Matthew Stafford has a long history of failing to beat teams that finish the season with a winning record, and Los Angeles looks like a team that’s going to finish over .500. Now the Chargers did benefit from some freaky fortunate luck on the road last year, and that’s due to regress. I just don’t know if it will happen here. I simply cannot bet this game – pass.

Minnesota @ Green Bay (-3.0)

Yes, Green Bay won last week, but similar to the 49ers/Bucs game, it was more a case of the home team losing than the road team winning. I have to see more than 10 points and 213 yards before I become a believer in Matt LaFleur and his newfangled Green Bay offense.

Green Bay is one of several teams this week in revenge mode. A lot of sports bettors take it for granted that revenge-minded teams will win, but that’s not always the case. The opposing team has some say in the matter. They’re not going to just roll over and die. Aaron Rodgers is 37-29 ATS with revenge. Kirk Cousins is 18-11 ATS vs. revenge. Minnesota head coach Mike Zimmer is 23-14 ATS vs. revenge.I am siding with Minnesota here and taking the points.

Jacksonville @ Houston (-9.0)

Houston had no pass rush at all against New Orleans, and then they went into that stupid three-man rush defense in the closing minutes, which allowed the Saints to move effortlessly down the field and kick the winning field goal. It makes my stomach turn every time I see that.

Jacksonville lost twice to Houston last year. The defense performed admirably, holding the Texans to 20 points in both games. But offensively they could only muster 7 points in the first game and 3 points in the second. Of course, those games featured Blake Bortles and Cody Kessler at quarterback. This week it will be … rookie Gardner Minshew. I am passing for now but if the line goes over 10, I might take the Jags

New England (-18.5) @ Miami

I don’t like double-digit home underdogs in division games at all.

Sports bettors want no part of this game either. The opening line for this game last spring was New England -7.5. After Sunday, it was New England -14.5. By Tuesday, it was New England -19. If you figure 3 points for Miami’s home field and another 3 for New England’s, those 19 points equate to New England laying 25 points at home. That one’s a hard pass for me.

Buffalo (-1.5) @ NY Giants

Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen is now 2-4 SU and 4-2 ATS on the road. In those six roadies, he has led his team to an average of 14.5 points per game. Yet here he is, favored on the road. (Note: the spread score for this game project Buffalo to score 22 points, which does not correspond to their history.)

All of that has me leaning New York’s way. My hesitation lies with New York head coach Pat Shurmur, one of the worst play-callers in the league. There’s also New York’s recent record in home openers. Playing in their home opener since 2012, the Giants have scored 17, 23, 14, 20, 16, 10, and 15 points. That’s an average of 16 points per game, and it’s led to a record of 1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS. Those games have gone 6-1 under the total.My bet is for this game to go under the total of 43.5.

Seattle @ Pittsburgh (-4.0)

Seattle head coach Pete Carroll is an astounding 1-12 SUATS in road games played in the first three weeks of the season, losing by an average score of 24-15. With Russell Wilson at quarterback, the team is 1-9 SUATS in these games. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin is 10-2 SU and 8-4 ATS in home openers, winning by an average score of 24-15. After getting humiliated at New England on Sunday night, the Steelers are the very definition of a needy team. 

This one looks easy, but we’ll see. I’m still picking the Steelers to win and cover at home.

Indianapolis @ Tennessee (-3.0)

Let’s be clear here! Tennessee is not going to benefit from the safety, a pick-6, a missed extra point, their opponent’s starting left tackle being ejected and their 2nd string left tackle injuring his knee, or their opponent racking up 182 penalty yards as they did with the hapless Browns. I also observed some very questionable play-calling from Tennessee last week (Cleveland had even worse play-calling.)

I’m staying away from this one – pass.

Dallas (-5.5) @ Washington

Washington head coach Jay Gruden called 44 pass attempts vs. 13 rush attempts last week. That was despite holding a 10-0 lead in the 1st quarter, and a 20-7 lead at halftime. He also made running back Adrian Peterson a healthy scratch last week. I expect more bad decision-making this week.

Dallas seems to be hot with that offensive play calling and if their defense stays on the field less than 30 min, they win 70% of their games. I’m laying the points on the road here and picking Dallas.

Kansas City (-7.5) @ Oakland

Kansas City head coach Andy Reid is 13-5 SU and 14-4 ATS on the division road with the Chiefs. As the head coach of Philadelphia from 2007-12, Reid went 12-6 ATS on the division road. So from 2007 on, that’s 25-11 SU and 26-10 ATS. Not bad.

This line opened at Kansas -9 and is now -7.5. If it creeps down lower than that, I will be very tempted to make a bet on the Chiefs. The Raiders will be without their hot rookie safety for the rest of the season and team will likely be down.

I’ll take the heavy road favorite here and side with the Chiefs.

Chicago (-2.5) @ Denver

Chicago is coming off a Thursday game, while Denver played a road game on Monday night. That gives the Bears a sneaky scheduling advantage with ten days to prepare vs. only six days for Denver.

Still, I have to see more from both teams before I can commit to betting. This one’s a pass.

New Orleans @ LA Rams (-2.5)

As I mentioned before, just because a team has revenge, doesn’t mean they are going to get it. The other team has something to prove too, particularly if they are at home. Sean Payton is 57-37 ATS with revenge. Sean McVay is 9-5 ATS vs. revenge.

New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees became somewhat interception prone as last season winded down, and he threw an interception last week. Brees is also 6-7 SU and 4-9 ATS in Week Two, including 3-5 SU and 2-6 ATS since 2011. He’s gone 0-2 ATS in Weeks One and Two combined five times since 2006.

New Orleans allowed 180 rushing yards and an average of 7.8 yards per rush on Monday night. They have six days, minus time lost in travel, to clean that up before going up against one of the league’s top rushing attacks.

I’m siding with the Rams here especially since they are laying less than 3 points.

Philadelphia (-1.5) @ Atlanta

Something important to consider is Philly’s big, come-from-behind win over Washington. They could be in letdown mode here. For whatever reason, Philly hasn’t traveled well early in the season under head coach Doug Pederson, going 3-5 SUATS on the road in the first five weeks of the year, including 0-4 SUATS as a favorite.

Philadelphia quarterback Carson Wentz is 8-12 SU on the road. Atlanta’s Matt Ryan is 60-32 SU at home. Wentz is 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS on road turf. The falcons were awful in the opener and should bounce back at home. I love the home dog in this game.

Cleveland @ NY Jets

With the announcement that QB Sam Darnold isn’t playing for the Jets this week, the game went off the boards at almost all bookies. Even when it comes back up, I want no part of it. That’s’ a pass.

2020 NFL Season Predictions Week 1

Let’s take a look at the NFL Predictions 2019 Week 1. Find out about the odds and the favorites to win. Here is a selection of the best sports operators in the US, with exclusive promo codes to sign up and bet on your favorite team.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots (-6.0)

Alright, so over the last 6 meetings between the two sides, the Patriots are 5-1. But Pittsburgh won the last game vs. the Patriots and the season before that, the overturned catch of Jesse James determined the game. Furthermore, over the past couple of games, the difference in the final score was just one possession. Belichick has a reputation of not being all in during the September games as he sees that time as a continuation of the pre-season. The Steelers have finally gotten rid of the distractions (Brown and Bell), and they look poised. One last thing, the money in Vegas is on Pittsburgh. Currently, 90% of the cash is on them with only 52% of the tickets being placed on the Steelers. This shows us that sharp players have tried to get to the +6.0 before it drops. It will surely drop by gameday. Take the Steelers and the points.

New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys (-7.0)

Betting against the Cowboys has been relatively profitable over the past 5-6 seasons. Dallas is a well-known “public” team. This means that the average guy will pick them to win. This is precisely when sharps go against them. Over the last 5 games between the two teams, the Cowboys have won 4. This is straight-up, though, and we care about the point spread. Now they are laying a whopping 7 points in week 1. Generally, the first week of the season is reserved for underdogs. Over the past 10 seasons, the underdogs cover about 60% of the time. So if we had picked blindly every underdog in week 1 throughout the past decade, we would have made some good money. What’s more, the last 7 contests between the Giants and the Cowboys were a one-score game. I am going with the Giants to cover.

Detroit Lions (-2.5) @ Arizona Cardinals

Here we have 2 teams that have had bad pre-season performances so far. I don’t trust either coach, and I also don’t trust either offense. All in all, this game will be a hard pass for me, although the home underdog may be worth some attention. There’s no way you should lay points on the road with Detroit in Week 1.

Tennessee Titans @ Cleveland Browns (-5.5)

This is a real value pick that I cannot miss. The Cleveland Browns are the most hyped up team in 2019, and I don’t see why. Baker Mayfield keeps running his mouth, but he won just 1 away game outside of the state of Ohio last year. The Browns had a record of 7-8-1 last season, and for some reason, they think that a rookie head coach will turn this franchise around instantly. Let’s pump the breaks here and respect the fact that the Titans play tough, smash-mouth football and may end up bullying the Browns at home. Mike Vrabel is just the type of coach you want when you are an underdog against a team that features a pair of diva wide receivers such as Landry and OBJ. I’m definitely taking the points in week 1.

Denver Broncos @ Oakland Raiders (PK)

Tough game to handicap at this point. There are too many variables here. How is the Raiders discipline going to be with so many new and volatile players (Brown, Incognito, Burfict)? How is Denver’s Joe Flacco going to mesh in with the offense? There’s too much new personnel on both teams’ coaching staffs, so I can’t predict who has the upper hand. This game is a pass. Pay attention to the Under, though.

Kansas City Chiefs (-4.0) @ Jacksonville Jaguars

This is an exciting pick right here not because Kansas starts the season with an away game versus a solid defense but because Jacksonville was the only team that held Mahomes without a touchdown in a game last year. Where I’m having problems trusting Jacksonville is their coaching.  Ne offensive coordinator John DeFilippo calls too many pass plays. It’s as simple as that. Unfortunately, he doesn’t have the offense to call that many pass plays and I think this will bite him as it has bit him last year against Buffalo, LA Rams, and Arizona. He makes bone-headed calls in crucial moments. Doug Marrone as a head coach always gravitates around .500 when it comes to ATS and Straight-up. I’m going with Andy Reid and Mahomes because they typically start seasons strong.

San Francisco 49ers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1.0)

This is a tough pick because Jimmy G is obviously the better quarterback in the game, but the 49ers have to travel east for this one, and I think that Tampa might just win this game easily. It’s all in the hands of Jameis Winston who looks like is being appropriately coached this summer and might not commit as many turnovers. The new head coach of TB is Bruce Arians, and he is known to be a quarterback whisperer. This game is a likely pass, but I lean Tampa.

Houston Texans @ New Orleans Saints (-7.0)

I am reluctant to bet this game on the point spread because the Texans are not known to open strong. Last year they were again an underdog versus the Patriots and failed to cover the spread. This year, they start against a team with an even better and faster offense than the Patriots. Clowney is missing so the Texans defense will be weakened. However, I don’t want to lay that many points in week 1 and bet such a heavy favorite. The Over 53.0 is worth a look though. If it goes down to 52.5, I’m likely betting it.

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets (-3.0)

I will likely be passing this game, but I lean Buffalo. They are going to be the better team on defense and will try to slow the game down for the Jets. If Darnold commits a couple of turnovers, the points for the Bills will be invaluable. Still, I don’t believe them that much. It’s a pass.

Los Angeles Rams (-3.0) @ Carolina Panthers

Is there such a thing as a Super Bowl hangover? We’ll find out with the Rams this season. We are going with the home underdog here strictly because it is a value pick. We have a western team traveling east, and this is always a good angle for us. Additionally, the money is poring on the Panthers while the tickets are on the Rams. This is a sure sign that the sharps are all over Carolina. I’m taking the points and picking the Panthers to upset the LA Rams in week 1.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Seattle Seahawks (-9.5)

Wow, this line moved quickly and by a lot. The Bengals look depleted on offense with both Green and Ross out for week 1. The line started at 7.5 and moved all the way to 10.0 at some sportsbooks. It is highly likely that the Seahawks will cover this line but who’d be willing to lay so much wood. Not me, not in Week 1. It’s a pass.

Baltimore Ravens (-5.0) @ Miami Dolphins

Call me crazy, but I don’t think it’s outrageous to bet Miami here. If the line moves to 5.5, it’d be really lucrative. Lamar Jackson has problems passing the ball, and he averages 17 carries per game. This is too many carries by the QB, and I think that a defensive expert like Brian Flores will be able to give him a hard time. Yes, Miami isn’t in good shape on offense, but if this is a low-scoring game, the 5 points will be worth a lot. I expect a defensive battle in the heat down south. Either bet the under or take the points with Miami.

Atlanta Falcons @ Minnesota Vikings (-4.0)

This is just a gut feeling here, but I feel like Atlanta will give Minnesota a hard time in this game. I expect Minnesota to run the ball more with a healthy Dalvin Cook and with a new Offensive coordinator. John DeFilippo made Cousins throw the ball way too often. The Vikings are likely to win, but Atlanta will definitely look for a good start of the season. The fact that they missed the playoffs last year is actually a good thing now. If you can get Atlanta at +4.5 somewhere, don’t hesitate to bet it.

Indianapolis Colts @ LA Chargers (-7.0)

If you managed to bet the Chargers before Andrew Luck announced his retirement, you probably got -3.0. Now you have the chance to middle by betting the Colts at +7.0. The Chargers should win straight-up easily though.

Philadelphia Eagles (-8.5) @ Washington Redskins 

The more fired up team here will be the Eagles. I hate laying that many points, but it might be a good idea. Here’s a fun fact: The Eagles have won every one of their last 4 games against the Redskins with a point margin of 10 or more. They are the more balanced team and will play versus a Washington team which will look for reasons to start Haskins in the weeks to come. I have a hunch that most of the Redskins players will not be motivated to play with Case Keenum. Add the fact that this is a division game, and the Eagles are poised for a huge playoff push this season. This bet goes against my principles, but I feel like the Eagles will win handily by a TD + FG.

Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears (-3.0)

This is what I call the upset of the week. I fully see the Packers winning this one even though the Bears defense looks suffocating. Whenever you can bet the better quarterback and get points, you should do it. In this case, I have more faith in Rodgers in a new offense than I have in Trubisky in his 2nd-year offense. Take the points.

*The odds are valid at the time of publication. 

2019/20 NFL Season Preview

Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers are set to raise the curtain on the new NFL season in the NFC North division derby on Thursday, September 5th. We are in for another thrilling campaign in the landmark 100th season of the competition. It does not bring a genuine Super Bowl contender, though. We rather see it as an evenly-matched race between several teams and this preview will reveal our main candidates for the playoffs seeds months before the actual kick off. We will also mention some of the most successful betting punters from the previous term as it will be very interesting to track their success in the new season.

NFC: Top betting picks for the 2020 Super Bowl

Los Angeles Rams

Los Angeles RamsSuper Bowl participants and reigning NFC champions have some unfinished business going into the new season. They began the previous term with 11 wins in 12 games, but kind of ran out of steam in dying stages of the regular campaign. They woke up in the play-offs to enter the Super Bowl where they fell to New England Patriots.

A lot will depend on the start as the team are looking at five intriguing tests beginning with the clash against the Panthers on the East Coast. If they pass it unharmed, we’d not be surprised to see them sweeping to the top-notch spot ahead of the play-offs in the second consecutive season. Such scenario is paid at +400 with SugarHouse.

 

New Orleans Saints

New Orleans SaintsThe Saints lost the NFC Championship match against LA Rams in a brutal fashion and they will have an opportunity to get the revenge as early as in the second round of the new season. It will no doubts be the clash with a massive impact on both teams’ ambitions moving forward and we can’t wait for it to actually kick off. The Saints have a Hall of Fame head coach in the like of Sean Payton, while Drew Brees got another star to throw balls to as tight end Jared Cook signed with New Orleans ahead of the season. Saints are actually bookies’ main favorites to win the NFC Championship. You can back such scenario at +375 with Sugarhouse. We are also tempted to go with New Orleans to win the Super Bowl at +850 with FanDuel.

 

Dallas Cowboys

Dallas CowboysHead coach Jason Garrett is in the final year of his contract and he has an imperative of making an impact. Anything below the NFC Championship match would be considered a failure and probably mark his farewell from the bench. The super stern defensive line is Cowboys’ biggest strength, while we certainly expect to see more from quarterback Dak Prescott given wide receiver Amari Cooper will be available as of Matchday No 1. The Cowboys are set at huge +1100 to go all the way in the NFC with SugarHouse.

 

 

AFC Predictions: Top teams to watch for 2020

New England Patriots

New England PatriotsThe defending champions remain the powerhouse in spite of losing one of the greatest tight ends in the history of the game. Rob Gronkowski ended his career in March this year and there are no doubts both Bill Belichick and Tom Brady will need some time to adjust to life without one of the most remarkable figures the sport has seen in the past decade. Michael Roberts came in from Detroit Lions, while it will be very interesting to see Isaiah Wynn starting the season after skipping the entire previous term through an Achilles injury. The schedule seems to be going in their favor and the Pats should not face too many troubles en route to clinching the play-offs berth. You can back the Patriots to win more than 10 games in the regular season at +105 odds with William Hill New Jersey.

 

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City ChiefsThe Chiefs enjoyed an extraordinary campaign last time out and were just unlucky to have missed out on the Super Bowl appearance. Patrick Mahomes well deserved the MVP award in his inaugural season with the Chiefs. He is probably the most complete quarter-back out there and we just have to put Kansas City in the narrowest choice for the Super Bowl with him on the field. The person we are especially excited for is the new defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo who should really bring this segment of the Chiefs’ game to a completely new level. Looking at all possible parameters, Kansas City are probably the biggest favorites to go all the way this season. They are +600 to lift the Super Bowl trophy at the end of the season with William Hill NJ. On top of this, backing Patrick Mahomes to defend his MVP title in the regular season is a must at +600 odds with FanDuel.

 

Cleveland Browns

Cleveland BrownsBrowns have one of the easiest schedules in December and we believe it will play a big role in their route towards a play-offs berth in the centennial edition of NFL. Their final three fixtures will be against the likes of Arizona, Baltimore and Cincinnati. These three outfits had 19 victories combined last year. Moving forward, John Dorsey enjoyed an extraordinary off-season. Cleveland are at +800 longshot to win the AFC Conference with SugarHouse.

 

2020 super bowl lines
2020 super bowl lines at William Hill

Tipsters to Keep an Eye on

NFL generally attracts a massive number of wagers and we can only expect the trend to grow in the landmark 100th edition. In the sea of successful pundits expertized for this particular sport, we have cherry-picked a couple definitely worth paying attention to coming into the new season.

Curt Archer

Archer made an exquisite +3023 profit with an 8.30% yield on 457 NFL bets last season. His numbers were significantly better in the regular season as he struggled in the play-offs. Nonetheless, this was still a significant profit. You should keep an eye on this man’s predictions, particularly at the start of the regular season.

Florin Groza

This guy made much more bets (718), but landed a 3.41% yield at the end of the campaign. Overall, it was most certainly a very successful one for him. Groza was profitable in eight of last ten months and we can’t wait for his picks at the start of the new campaign. Follow his Twitter account here.